Brent tops $116, gold slips to 3-month low, Kazakhstan cuts rate to 15.75%

19 Oct – 25 Oct 2026

Energy markets ended the week of 19–25 October with Brent crude at a more than five-month high, while precious metals extended their decline. Eurozone business activity growth slowed, and the central banks of Russia and Kazakhstan diverged on rates.

Oil & Gas

Brent futures settled at US$116.72 per barrel on 23 October, up 3.1% on the day, while WTI settled at US$103.27, up 3.8%, according to Rio Times; Reuters described the move as a more than five-month high (Kitco/Reuters). EIA data showed US commercial crude inventories fell by 3.1 million barrels to 412.5 million barrels in the week to 16 October, about 3% below the five-year average; gasoline stocks fell by 3 million barrels (OilPrice.com).

Supertanker rates from the US Gulf Coast to Asia eased to about US$60 million per voyage from early-October peaks of up to US$80 million, and Asian orders for US crude for November delivery fell by about 50% from September (OilPrice.com).

In European gas, front-month TTF rose to €92.30/MWh on 23 October, its highest level since December 2022, while EU storage stood at 74.62% on 22 October against a five-year average of about 86% (OilPrice.com). Eni reported third-quarter adjusted net profit of €2.8 billion, up 125% year on year, and announced a €1.3 billion extraordinary dividend alongside a buyback raised to €3.8 billion (OilPrice.com).

Metals

Spot gold fell to an intraday low of US$3,986.50/oz on 23 October, its lowest since 20 July, and was down 3.5% for the week at the time of reporting, as higher energy prices lifted expectations of tighter US monetary policy. Silver and platinum also declined (Kitco/Reuters). LME copper closed the week at US$14,415 per tonne, down 1.23% (Rio Times).

On the project side, Newmont put the cost of the Red Chris block cave expansion in British Columbia at US$4.2–4.8 billion, targeting commercial production in 2033 (The Northern Miner). Rio Tinto approved a $1.9 billion investment in the 20 Mtpa Kangwinan bauxite project in Queensland, with first production planned for 2029 (Mining Technology). Bannerman Energy and CNNC Overseas approved construction of the US$353 million Etango uranium project in Namibia, targeting first production in 2028 (The Northern Miner).

Data centers: AI & mining

Nebius secured a US$3.5 billion one-year senior secured facility from Citi to fund data center development and GPU procurement (DCD). In Spain, engineering firm Krolmap plans a €1.5 billion, 225 MW campus in Belchite, Aragón, combining renewables, storage and cogeneration to reduce grid dependence (DCD).

In bitcoin mining, the seven-day average network hashrate returned to about 1 ZH/s, its highest since early March, even as listed miners redirect capacity to AI and HPC. Core Scientific ended an equipment agreement covering 15 EH/s as it shifts toward high-density colocation (TheEnergyMag).

Economy: EU

The HCOB flash eurozone composite PMI fell to 51.9 in October from 53.1, a four-month low; services eased to 51.7 and the manufacturing PMI to 52.4. Manufacturing input price inflation was the steepest since May, driven by energy, fuel and transport costs (S&P Global). Eurostat data showed euro area government debt rose to 88.8% of GDP in the second quarter from 88.4% in the first, and to 82.9% across the EU (Eunews).

Economy: CIS

The Bank of Russia kept its key rate at 14% on 23 October and raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 7.1–7.6% from 6–7%; consumer prices were up 6.2% year to date. The next board meeting is on 18 December (Reuters via Yahoo Finance). The National Bank of Kazakhstan cut its base rate to 15.75% from 16.25% the same day, as annual inflation slowed to 9.3%; its next decision is due on 4 December (Kursiv).

What to watch

  • 27–28 October: US Federal Reserve policy meeting (Kitco/Reuters).
  • 28–29 October: ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, with a press conference on 29 October (ECB).
  • 1 November: Meeting of seven OPEC+ countries on production levels (Reuters via The Moscow Times).

Prepared by Ascendium Group from the public sources linked in the text, with the assistance of AI, and reviewed by our team. For general information only; not an offer or investment advice.